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Red216
131872.1
205265.0
406015.5
Blue107
242429.6
236369.8
77116.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17198050150200250300350216107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#18
72.12.8
82.285.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
2363
#24
69.80.1
68.968.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
65.02.8
60.363.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.4
2424
#97
29.60.1
23.623.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4060
#90
15.52.8
17.320.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
771
#100
16.20.1
16.916.8
Auto
Teleop
End