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Red129
453636.0
514524.0
491750.9
Blue205
393764.9
448875.4
115355.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions802280100200300400129205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#84
50.91.3
44.645.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.5
4488
#11
75.40.0
79.779.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4536
#76
36.01.3
35.636.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.8
3937
#64
64.90.0
64.264.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5145
#86
24.01.3
22.423.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.1
55.20.0
61.561.5
Auto
Teleop
End