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Red220
512254.8
297446.5
102381.5
Blue216
248164.3
19375.9
18870.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1802110100300400220216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.51.8
87.088.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
193
#48
75.90.5
71.672.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5122
#73
54.81.8
50.352.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
188
#28
70.10.5
65.966.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2974
#82
46.51.8
47.449.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.9
2481
#34
64.30.5
68.468.9
Auto
Teleop
End