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Red172
406343.2
313846.4
448875.4
Blue137
264254.7
512254.8
428838.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1861190300400500172137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#11
75.40.2
82.582.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.6
5122
#73
54.80.4
50.350.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3138
#49
46.40.2
46.246.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
2642
#38
54.70.4
49.449.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4063
#68
43.20.2
47.046.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
4288
#75
38.20.4
29.429.8
Auto
Teleop
End