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Red116
247142.8
177576.4
12663.2
Blue123
115355.2
76629.2
217743.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1981080300400116123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1775
#30
76.43.4
76.072.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.2
55.20.1
53.853.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
126
#12
63.23.4
57.954.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.1
2177
#77
43.00.1
43.643.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2471
#47
42.83.4
50.447.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.6
766
#46
29.20.1
24.224.3
Auto
Teleop
End