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Red190
121868.6
35331.7
248164.3
Blue71
38457.5
532017.0
514524.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18291030040019071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#54
68.61.1
74.675.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
384
#93
57.52.3
61.158.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2481
#34
64.31.1
62.863.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 40.3
5145
#86
24.02.1
25.323.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
353
#14
31.71.1
30.631.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
5320
#89
17.01.7
18.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End