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Red128
233777.7
242429.6
168344.3
Blue166
7961.6
417617.2
336055.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1841200300400500128166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#60
77.72.3
84.181.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
79
#23
61.61.8
58.760.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1683
#65
44.33.1
53.950.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.5
3360
#53
55.81.8
56.458.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2424
#97
29.62.8
35.833.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
4176
#42
17.21.8
14.516.3
Auto
Teleop
End