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Red196
49468.9
330956.5
30347.9
Blue84
509826.4
86949.0
297446.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177126010020030040019684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#20
68.91.4
72.273.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
869
#78
49.02.5
51.949.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3309
#26
56.51.4
50.451.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
2974
#82
46.52.5
61.559.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
303
#50
47.91.4
46.247.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.5
5098
#58
26.42.8
20.918.1
Auto
Teleop
End