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Red110
38457.5
49468.9
101129.0
Blue210
86264.5
447656.0
313846.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160173050100200250300350110210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#20
68.92.6
75.272.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
862
#4
64.52.0
64.966.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
384
#93
57.52.6
56.053.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
4476
#66
56.02.0
56.958.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1011
#96
29.02.6
31.028.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.4
3138
#49
46.42.0
49.051.0
Auto
Teleop
End