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Red190
217743.0
22572.4
448875.4
Blue122
31916.8
48858.5
425657.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2111030300400190122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#11
75.40.2
77.076.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.9
488
#87
58.50.1
54.554.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
225
#37
72.40.2
83.783.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.6
4256
#51
57.80.1
53.553.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2177
#77
43.00.2
34.033.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 36.3
3191
#98
6.80.1
11.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End