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Red149
330956.5
131054.7
264254.7
Blue131
22572.4
310332.5
514827.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185134050100250300350400149131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#26
56.51.4
59.958.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.0
225
#37
72.40.5
83.582.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2642
#38
54.71.4
56.054.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.2
3103
#88
32.50.5
33.032.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1310
#17
54.71.4
61.059.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.9
5148
#45
27.80.6
25.625.0
Auto
Teleop
End