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Red175
131872.1
212272.1
17652.0
Blue100
175677.8
213518.4
331059.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2081750100300400175100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#13
72.11.4
68.066.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
77.84.0
89.085.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1318
#18
72.11.4
83.682.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
3310
#71
59.84.0
65.261.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
176
#70
52.01.4
51.550.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.6
2135
#80
18.44.0
25.521.5
Auto
Teleop
End