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Quarterfinal 2-22014 Hawaii Regional
Red88
425350.7
313254.3
38003.9
Blue121
244531.4
243953.5
250420.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11110605015020025030035088121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#8
54.30.4
54.7→54.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
2439
#7
53.50.2
54.1→54.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4253
#6
50.70.4
51.1→50.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 19.3
2445
#23
31.40.2
31.9→32.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3800
#32
3.90.4
4.3→3.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 16.8
2504
#19
20.70.2
21.3→21.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—