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Semifinal 2-12014 Hawaii Regional
Red85
285328.6
388142.6
388032.9
Blue106
209048.4
244361.8
234825.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9915105020025030085106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3881
#11
42.60.4
43.6→43.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 19.1
2443
#5
61.80.6
64.2→63.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3880
#18
32.90.4
33.8→33.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 15.5
2090
#12
48.40.6
50.8→50.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2853
#10
28.60.4
29.6→29.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.2
2348
#27
25.40.6
27.9→27.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—