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Red30
250420.7
52778.9
38003.9
Blue31
24652.0
42709.9
244419.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405202060801001201403031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2504
#19
20.71.0
15.914.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2444
#15
19.01.6
20.018.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5277
#37
8.91.0
12.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
4270
#34
9.91.6
17.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3800
#32
3.91.0
13.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
2465
#36
2.01.6
12.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End