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Red100
388032.9
300822.6
244361.8
Blue6
452921.3
387811.9
24774.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108200501502001006

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.3
51.251.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 40.5
4529
#24
21.32.3
17.014.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3880
#18
32.90.5
23.524.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.0
3878
#29
11.92.3
10.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3008
#22
22.60.3
19.519.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.2
2477
#35
4.52.3
6.23.9
Auto
Teleop
End