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Red61
387811.9
529716.8
313254.3
Blue68
300822.6
250420.7
477420.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674801001506168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.30.2
38.137.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.7
3008
#22
22.60.9
19.820.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5297
#25
16.80.2
17.617.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
2504
#19
20.71.4
14.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3878
#29
11.90.2
8.17.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
4774
#14
20.31.4
15.917.4
Auto
Teleop
End