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Red71
244419.0
285328.6
388032.9
Blue61
42709.9
530611.3
388142.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516202040801001207161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#18
32.91.5
24.025.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
3881
#11
42.60.0
34.334.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2853
#10
28.61.5
10.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
5306
#38
11.30.0
10.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2444
#15
19.01.5
18.420.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
4270
#34
9.90.0
16.316.3
Auto
Teleop
End