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Qual 432014 Midwest Regional
Red96
278119.9
467639.1
250623.1
Blue61
369523.8
272511.6
18509.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595101001502002503009661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4676
#14
39.13.2
12.9→16.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.3
3695
#34
23.80.7
27.2→27.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2506
#24
23.11.9
23.4→25.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.5
2725
#53
11.60.7
19.5→20.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2781
#30
19.93.2
21.4→24.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.1
1850
#32
9.90.7
5.8→6.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—