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Qual 442014 Midwest Regional
Red135
335232.8
173273.8
7174.6
Blue158
306144.2
512538.9
283019.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173540100150200250300350135158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#35
74.61.0
66.6→65.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 30.4
3061
#7
44.24.3
36.7→41.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1732
#5
73.81.0
62.5→61.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 34.8
5125
#18
38.97.1
20.2→27.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3352
#12
32.81.0
25.4→24.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.4
2830
#23
19.44.3
15.9→20.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—