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Red23
211526.6
18509.9
497918.4
Blue32
213613.5
335232.8
393620.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415901001502002332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2115
#41
26.61.8
20.618.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
3352
#12
32.81.2
24.423.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4979
#29
18.41.8
17.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
3936
#33
20.41.2
16.315.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1850
#32
9.91.8
6.54.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
2136
#49
13.52.0
15.713.6
Auto
Teleop
End