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Red192
311028.2
270927.2
69547.1
Blue75
512538.9
317720.4
313515.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846405010015020025019275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#6
47.19.2
39.248.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
5125
#18
38.90.7
27.328.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3110
#47
28.29.2
25.734.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
3177
#51
20.40.7
17.418.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2709
#37
27.29.2
16.325.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
3135
#38
15.60.4
22.222.6
Auto
Teleop
End