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Qual 792014 Midwest Regional
Red6
512538.9
34881.1
311028.2
Blue37
464513.1
369523.8
278119.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7780050100150637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5125
#18
38.95.6
33.7→28.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.2
3695
#34
23.83.1
33.2→30.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3110
#47
28.25.2
31.9→26.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.3
2781
#30
19.93.1
25.5→22.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3488
#52
1.15.2
12.3→7.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.1
4645
#16
13.13.1
21.0→17.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—