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Red14
270440.8
283019.4
478710.9
Blue13
11144.9
10114.9
313515.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72930501502001413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2704
#10
40.83.0
33.130.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
111
#17
44.93.8
49.345.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2830
#23
19.43.0
26.223.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
3135
#38
15.63.8
20.817.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4787
#46
10.94.1
15.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
101
#40
14.95.1
19.214.2
Auto
Teleop
End