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Qual 832014 Midwest Regional
Red95
464513.1
235835.0
1625100.4
Blue141
239920.7
64829.4
69547.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1697205010015020025030035095141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#2
100.43.0
94.4→91.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 53.3
695
#6
47.13.6
41.0→44.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2358
#22
35.03.0
41.9→39.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.6
648
#36
29.42.7
27.0→29.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4645
#16
13.13.9
17.9→13.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.6
2399
#21
20.72.7
19.1→21.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—