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Red107
219712.6
211526.6
270440.8
Blue5
317720.4
34881.1
272511.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564301001502001075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2704
#10
40.82.6
30.132.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.4
3177
#51
20.42.7
23.520.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2115
#41
26.63.5
15.418.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.0
2725
#53
11.62.7
14.812.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2197
#43
12.62.6
8.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
3488
#52
1.12.7
7.14.4
Auto
Teleop
End