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Red117
424126.2
497212.0
167552.8
Blue115
213613.5
10114.9
7174.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7295050150200250117115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.82.1
48.650.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.8
71
#35
74.61.2
70.872.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
26.22.8
18.221.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
101
#40
14.91.4
14.215.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4972
#45
12.02.5
8.611.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
2136
#49
13.51.6
6.37.9
Auto
Teleop
End