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Red110
11144.9
215115.1
233875.7
Blue160
1625100.4
18509.9
178125.6
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137122050100200250300350400110160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.71.2
71.169.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 24.7
100.41.8
91.493.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
111
#17
44.91.2
46.445.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.3
1781
#25
25.61.8
24.426.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2151
#44
15.11.5
16.815.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1850
#32
9.92.4
8.310.7
Auto
Teleop
End