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Quarterfinal 1-12014 Central Illinois Regional
Red236
52568.7
198675.6
429612.0
Blue65
16746.0
120844.4
425646.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16313705010020025030035023665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#3
75.61.3
76.4→77.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 28.8
4256
#14
46.81.3
48.1→46.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
525
#1
68.71.3
69.6→70.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.8
167
#9
46.01.3
47.3→46.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4296
#34
12.01.3
12.9→14.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 32.3
1208
#15
44.41.3
45.7→44.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—