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Qual 802014 Central Illinois Regional
Red88
109430.8
173919.2
203937.4
Blue171
175655.4
270427.1
96744.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8112405010015020025088171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2039
#17
37.40.0
37.6→37.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 18.0
1756
#5
55.43.3
51.9→55.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1094
#30
30.80.0
30.6→30.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 13.4
967
#11
44.23.0
40.9→44.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1739
#38
19.20.0
19.2→19.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.8
2704
#12
27.13.0
24.1→27.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—