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Quarterfinal 3-32014 Central Illinois Regional
Red128
248141.8
173649.2
421327.1
Blue133
202225.8
208140.6
29233.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12296050150200250128133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#2
49.20.2
49.0→49.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.6
2081
#8
40.60.5
40.6→41.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2481
#10
41.80.2
41.7→41.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.0
292
#28
33.80.5
33.8→34.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4213
#33
27.10.2
26.9→27.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.3
2022
#20
25.80.5
25.8→26.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—