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Quarterfinal 4-12014 Central Illinois Regional
Red191
180663.0
245141.1
109430.8
Blue143
203937.4
17143.3
414343.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13612350100150200250191143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#4
63.01.1
62.8→63.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 19.1
4143
#16
43.90.3
44.2→44.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2451
#13
41.10.9
40.9→41.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.2
171
#7
43.30.3
43.5→43.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1094
#30
30.80.9
30.6→31.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.6
2039
#17
37.40.3
37.7→37.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—