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Qual 112014 Central Illinois Regional
Red85
465519.2
198675.6
173919.2
Blue158
180663.0
313836.2
432917.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058205015020025030085158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#3
75.61.4
61.8→60.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.5
1806
#4
63.06.1
38.2→44.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1739
#38
19.21.4
14.6→13.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 17.0
3138
#19
36.26.1
30.3→36.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4655
#35
19.21.4
24.9→23.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
4329
#39
17.36.1
16.6→22.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—