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Red80
270427.1
208140.6
64828.9
Blue77
433024.3
421327.1
328437.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87750501502002503008077

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.4
41.340.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
3284
#25
37.20.0
32.632.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
648
#31
28.90.4
29.729.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
4213
#33
27.10.0
20.320.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2704
#12
27.10.4
14.413.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
4330
#36
24.30.0
24.024.0
Auto
Teleop
End