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Qual 212014 Central Illinois Regional
Red81
198675.6
433024.3
248141.8
Blue82
429612.0
328437.2
173649.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137680501002002503008182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#3
75.63.8
59.8→56.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 26.4
1736
#2
49.20.2
34.5→34.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2481
#10
41.83.8
43.0→39.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.6
3284
#25
37.20.2
34.7→34.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4330
#36
24.33.8
23.8→20.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.3
4296
#34
12.00.2
9.9→10.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—