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Red70
175655.4
419620.8
174747.7
Blue100
29233.8
270427.1
128841.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087905015020025030035040070100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.42.8
52.449.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
1288
#29
41.11.4
36.037.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
47.72.8
31.628.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.8
292
#28
33.81.4
29.230.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4196
#24
20.82.8
19.416.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
2704
#12
27.11.4
18.019.4
Auto
Teleop
End