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Red32
17143.3
425646.8
432917.3
Blue101
204025.1
465519.2
245141.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868820406010012014016032101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4256
#14
46.84.5
37.132.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
2451
#13
41.11.1
34.135.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
171
#7
43.34.5
27.723.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.2
2040
#32
25.11.1
29.931.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4329
#39
17.34.5
21.316.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
4655
#35
19.21.1
23.324.4
Auto
Teleop
End