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Red47
219417.2
421234.0
109430.8
Blue73
504121.3
313836.2
335224.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73770501001504773

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4212
#18
34.02.2
27.224.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
3138
#19
36.20.3
40.540.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1094
#30
30.82.2
27.925.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
3352
#23
24.70.3
16.916.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2194
#40
17.22.2
18.516.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
5041
#37
21.30.3
18.818.6
Auto
Teleop
End