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Red86
176426.5
478617.1
208140.6
Blue78
173919.2
270427.1
216427.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions924201502002508678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.2
43.844.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.5
2164
#21
27.12.3
20.022.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1764
#22
26.50.2
25.025.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2704
#12
27.12.3
15.718.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4786
#27
17.10.2
15.015.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1739
#38
19.22.3
14.116.5
Auto
Teleop
End