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Red37
419620.8
219417.2
64828.9
Blue97
175655.4
504121.3
429612.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions498801502002503797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
648
#31
28.91.5
24.222.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.5
55.41.2
48.850.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4196
#24
20.81.5
13.812.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
5041
#37
21.31.2
20.421.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2194
#40
17.21.5
16.715.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
4296
#34
12.01.2
12.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End