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Qual 382014 Central Illinois Regional
Red107
120844.4
328437.2
465519.2
Blue80
109125.3
204025.1
128841.1
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1039205015020025030010780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#15
44.40.5
37.2→37.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.3
1288
#29
41.11.1
40.8→39.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3284
#25
37.20.5
36.1→36.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.9
1091
#26
25.31.1
18.5→17.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4655
#35
19.20.5
27.8→28.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.9
2040
#32
25.11.1
34.0→32.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—