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Qual 402014 Central Illinois Regional
Red181
425646.8
180663.0
421327.1
Blue111
109430.8
29233.8
174747.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10278050150200250181111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
#4
63.06.9
49.8→56.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.4
1747
#6
47.72.5
30.0→32.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4256
#14
46.86.9
36.0→42.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.9
292
#28
33.82.5
29.5→32.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4213
#33
27.16.9
12.5→19.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.7
1094
#30
30.82.5
22.0→24.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—