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Qual 412014 Central Illinois Regional
Red108
216427.1
203937.4
109125.3
Blue160
328437.2
173919.2
52568.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601180100150200250108160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2039
#17
37.43.2
29.5→32.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 31.3
525
#1
68.74.3
55.8→60.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2164
#21
27.13.2
22.4→25.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.1
3284
#25
37.24.3
36.6→40.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1091
#26
25.33.2
17.4→20.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.1
1739
#38
19.24.3
16.5→20.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—