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Red137
109430.8
414343.9
433024.3
Blue187
16746.0
419620.8
245141.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74590100150200137187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#16
43.95.5
35.040.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
167
#9
46.010.5
24.134.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1094
#30
30.85.5
24.529.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
2451
#13
41.110.5
24.635.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4330
#36
24.35.5
12.117.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
4196
#24
20.810.5
12.322.8
Auto
Teleop
End