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Qual 462014 Central Illinois Regional
Red80
421234.0
248141.8
425646.8
Blue146
128841.1
421327.1
198675.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11412405015020025030035080146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4256
#14
46.83.0
42.9→39.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 28.8
1986
#3
75.61.9
63.7→65.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2481
#10
41.83.0
40.0→37.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
1288
#29
41.11.9
39.7→41.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4212
#18
34.03.0
33.2→30.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.9
4213
#33
27.11.9
19.4→21.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—