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Qual 472014 Central Illinois Regional
Red72
465519.2
313836.2
109125.3
Blue81
29233.8
175655.4
202225.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851120501502002507281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#19
36.21.4
39.7→38.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 19.2
1756
#5
55.42.2
50.0→47.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1091
#26
25.31.3
20.7→19.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.5
292
#28
33.82.2
32.0→29.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4655
#35
19.21.4
28.3→26.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.6
2022
#20
25.82.0
25.3→23.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—