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Red72
96744.2
204025.1
429612.0
Blue148
414343.9
478617.1
16746.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899040608010012014016018072148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#11
44.21.4
43.141.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
167
#9
46.04.6
34.639.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2040
#32
25.11.4
31.330.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.9
4143
#16
43.94.6
40.545.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4296
#34
12.01.4
15.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
4786
#27
17.14.6
14.318.9
Auto
Teleop
End