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Red59
313836.2
202225.8
109430.8
Blue132
208140.6
328437.2
414343.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8313705010020025030059132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#19
36.22.5
38.335.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
4143
#16
43.90.3
45.045.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1094
#30
30.82.3
29.827.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.8
40.60.3
42.442.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2022
#20
25.82.3
23.320.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
3284
#25
37.20.3
40.841.1
Auto
Teleop
End