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Qual 552014 Central Illinois Regional
Red121
270427.1
176426.5
109125.3
Blue77
203937.4
465519.2
504121.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5583010015020012177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2704
#12
27.14.4
18.5→22.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.3
2039
#17
37.40.1
31.0→30.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1764
#22
26.54.4
21.6→26.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.1
5041
#37
21.30.1
20.8→20.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1091
#26
25.34.4
19.4→23.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.1
4655
#35
19.20.1
26.8→26.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—