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Qual 562014 Central Illinois Regional
Red195
198675.6
219417.2
175655.4
Blue102
425646.8
96744.2
120844.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141132050100200250300350195102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#3
75.64.0
75.3→79.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 28.8
4256
#14
46.82.3
49.5→47.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1756
#5
55.44.3
47.8→52.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 11.1
1208
#15
44.42.3
42.7→40.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2194
#40
17.24.3
16.5→20.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 27.0
967
#11
44.22.3
41.7→39.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—